On the final day of the presidential campaign, both national and state polls suggest that President Barack Obama is on track to win the 2012 presidential election.
The latest national polls suggest that the president has seized the momentum in the race. While most tracking polls showed Mitt Romney leading President Obama by a narrow margin last week, the president is now tied or slightly ahead in most surveys released today:
American Research Group: Obama 49 percent, Romney 49 percent
Democracy Corps: Obama 49 percent, Romney 45 percent (Stan Greenberg explains these numbers in the new video from The Carville-Greenberg Memo.)
Gallup: Romney 49 percent, Obama 48 percent
Monmouth: Obama 48 percent, Romney 48 percent
Public Policy Polling: Obama 50 percent, Romney 48 percent
Rasmussen: Romney 49 percent, Obama 48 percent
UPI/CVoter: Obama 49 percent, Romney 47 percent
Washington Post-ABC: Obama 50 percent, Romney 47 percent
In the swing states, President Obama’s lead is more pronounced. Of the 22 swing state polls released today, Romney leads in just four.
Colorado:
Public Policy Polling: Obama 52 percent, Romney 46 percent
Florida:
InsiderAdvantage: Romney 52 percent, Obama 47 percent
Public Policy Polling: Obama 50 percent, Romney 49 percent
Pulse Opinion Research: Romney 50 percent, Obama 48 percent
Zogby: Obama 50 percent, Romney 45 percent
UNF: Obama 49 percent, Romney 45 percent
Iowa:
American Research Group: Romney 49 percent, Obama 48 percent
New Hampshire:
WMUR: Obama 51 percent, Romney 48 percent
American Research Group: Obama 49 percent, Romney 49 percent
New England College: Obama 50 percent, Romney 46 percent
North Carolina:
Public Policy Polling: Obama 49 percent, Romney 49 percent
Ohio:
Pulse Opinion Research: Obama 48 percent, Romney 46 percent
Zogby: Obama 50 percent, Romney 44 percent
University of Cincinnati: Obama 50 percent, Romney 49 percent
Rasmussen: Obama 49 percent, Romney 49 percent
SurveyUSA: Obama 49 percent, Romney 44 percent
Pennsylvania:
Pulse Opinion Research: Obama 49 percent, Romney 46 percent
Virginia:
NBC/Wall Street Journal/Marist: Obama 48 percent, Romney 47 percent
Pulse Opinion Research: Obama 49 percent, Romney 48 percent
Rasmussen: Romney 50 percent, Obama 48 percent
Zogby: Obama 52 percent, Romney 44 percent
Wisconsin:
Pulse Opinion Research: Obama 49 percent, Romney 48 percent
Political betting markets also favor President Obama for re-election. Betfair says that Obama has a roughly 79 percent chance of winning re-election, while Intrade has Obama’s chances at 67.3 percent.
Hat tip to Political WireandTalking Points Memo
